M7 is not as ”Naive” as Gaddafi- He wouldn’t Stay and Fight Incase of NATO bombs

Julius Nyerere

Friends,

Some of Muamah Gaddafi’s messages to the media ever since he had that unbelievable exist from Tripoli have been very touching but I think they have come too late. He made his bed and now he must lay in it. He should have resigned before the situation escalated into something he could not control. I really feel sorry for him. He is probably the most generous dictator Africa has ever had.

Uganda’s Museveni will never make that mistake of staying on to fight as Gaddafi did despite his recent rhetoric I read in the Weekly Observer- because he is a very realistic man. He knows which wars he can win and those he cannot. If they put you against Mike Tyson in the ring, you should know when to call it off, because if you don’t, your nose gets blown away. Brother Gaddafi should have realized when the game was up, but on a good note: he was indeed a strong hearted, patriotic leader who saw himself only ” ending with the world’’ (as most dictators do).

Muslims and Africans will miss him. He did a lot for Libyans, Muslims and Africans in general but he denied political freedom to his people. Hope the NTC does not disappoint us. Libyans deserve to feel free in their own country. We all deserve to feel free in our own countries.

Freedom is not about putting food on somebody’s table. Otherwise, women married to rich husbands would have made the best wives ever. Because freedom is not about money, better housing, better health care,……. a poor man can easily bang your wife if you are treating her like a slave( like your own her). Hello! Human beings are not properties. They need a breather, and they always get bored easily if someone has been on their nerves for a long time.

I know it may be very difficult for some people to believe that Gaddafi fell without shooting any of the NATO planes but that‘s how the mission was planned, I believe. It was planned to neutralize his air space from the beginning. More so, I suspect that Brother Gaddafi initially thought that the situation will pass and NATO will eventually negotiate with him. So he did not want to make things worse for himself at the beginning by shooting their ‘birds’. I guess by the time he realized that NATO was about regime change not anything else, it was too late. He could not even move any of his weapons because there were within NATO target.

Look, most dictators fall in the least way expected. It is not unique to Gaddafi. Iddil Amin, for instance, also fell when people least expected it. Just like in Libya’s case, the OAU (AU) was against the foreign invaders (in this case the Tanzanians) though their arm was twisted over Amin’s own invasion of the Kagera triangle in northwestern Tanzania in October 1978.

Amin, like Gadafi, they never respected fellow leaders. Before the dust had settled over the Kagera incident, he annoyed Nyerere by suggesting that they should have a boxing match as a possible means of resolving the fate of the Kagera triangle. Amin was a professional boxer, remember. This was the point when Nyerere called up Obote to help organize the Uganda opposition in exile such that he could kick Amin’s ass.

But few people in Uganda saw all these developments as serious. Masaka and Mbarara fell into insurgent hands in early March but still Amin was making as much noise as Gaddafi was making till the last minute. Lukaya was taken and the road to Kampala seemed visible to the insurgents but Amin was still chest thumping. It’s good he did not promise a ‘Vietnam’ for Nyerere as some people are doing now.

Iddil Amin Dada

On March 28th 1979, both Libya and Kenya asked Tanzania to get their forces out but Nyerere stuck to his guns: ‘’SONGA MBELE’’ style. On April 6th, Entebbe Airport was then in the hands of the Tanzanian forces. A week later, Lule was pronounced as the new president of Uganda. Amin’s quick fall surprised a lot of people including him. Yes, Amin regime had internal weaknesses but without the help from Tanzanians, it would have survived for a long time.

The point here is that ‘chest thumping’ and rhetoric by leaders does not necessarily save them when their moment of ‘falling down’ comes. Gaddafi had bought a lot of military equipment from the Russians even before the war started. Actually, he had bought a lot before the sanctions were put on Libya in 1980s. He serviced the old equipment and also bought more after the sanctions were lifted. His old military weapons and planes were even better than what we have got in Uganda. But it is very difficult to use all these equipment when there are under surveillance. The first thing NATO did was to effectively destroy most of this stuff at the start of the air campaign.

Let’s us also not forget that MI6 and CIA had a close relationship with Gaddafi before all these so called people’s revolutions in North Africa started, as revealed by recent media revelations. They at least had their agents on the ground that had done enough home work on Libya and its military capabilities. So every bomb thrown by NATO was meant to hit the target. They neutralized the guy. They basically disabled him to stop him from walking. May be it was for the best because a well equipped Gaddafi would have died with a lot of people. He is a wounded lion now but without power and enough military equipment. Imagine if he had both!

Going back to Museveni, I think a coup is now almost impossible in Uganda because president Museveni has fragmented the army and air force there into as many separate segments as possible. During the ‘walk to work’ protests, for instance, we used to watch people in plain clothes ordering Besigye around such that in one of the videos, I remember Besigye asking one of them: ‘who are you?’ It seems even Besigye was surprised to see people in plain clothes ordering those in uniforms.

So, at the moment, it is difficult to tell the actual number of officers in UPDF or police or intelligence units. This situation has certainly made a military seizure of power much less likely in Uganda at the moment, which is ok for me because i hate millitary governments, but i feel sorry for those who may invest their hopes in a coup. Security matters,it seems, are certainly and directly in the hands of Museveni and the people totally committed to him.
Abbey

I’m indifferent as far as Obote is Concerned. I don’t hate him

Dear Ugandans,

I would also like to say that I don’t hate Obote as per some statements I have seen flying around by some writers. I’m indifferent as far as Obote is concerned despite the fact that I lost a father during the time when he was the man controlling the system.

As I assume some of you already know, UPM which later evolved into NRM was a combination of several political parties. Let it also be known that most of the founders of UPM were former UPCs. When UNLF stopped being in existence and Binaisa was out of the office, some members of UPC who did not want to join DP thought of forming a new party. At first, they called themselves the ‘Third force’. This group was led by Akena Pojok(then minister of Transport and a UPC), Opira (former deputy chief of intelligence in Obote 1),Erisa Kironde(chairman of UEB in Obote1),Ruhakana Rugunda(then deputy minister of health), Bidandi Ssali(then minister of local Administrations),Yoweri Kaguta Museveni and other UPCs. The ‘Third force’ also recruited from DP territory and they managed to get guys like: Matia Kasajja of Hoima, Bernard Buzaabo, Dr. Bwambale and so many other DP supporters. They also went for neutrals and the biggest fish they got was Professor Tarsis Kabwegyere.

This ‘third force’ came up with a better name: ’Uganda Labour Congress’ in May 1980 which they later changed into UPM. Museveni(FORMER UPC) was chosen the leader of UPM. Guys like Yona Kanyomoozi, Ephraim Kamuntu, Dr. Ezra Nkwasiibwe, Kabwegyere and Pojok did not want Museveni to become the leader of UPM but they failed to block it. Actually, Kabwegyere later decided to join DP. So basically when one analyses all these political parties, they have been almost formed by the same people from older parties.

UPM (started before 1980 elections by the Musevenis) later changed its name to Uganda Liberation Movement when some UNLA soldiers joined them. Uganda Liberation Movement then changed to MOSPOR(Movement for the Struggle for Political Rights) which later also changed to Peoples resistance Army(PRA)-more like a replica of the ghostly rebel organisation started by Besigye in 2004. It was this PRA that later united with Uganda Freedom Fighters (UFF) of professor Lule to form NRM.

Museveni also formed an alliance with the UFM(of Kayiira) and the UNRF when they met in London to form what is called Uganda Popular Front(UPF). FRONASA formed in the 1970s doubled as the military wing of UPM.

Yes, most Ugandans supported all these alliances, may be just as like we are asking the current opposition parties to unite for a common cause. The scale used to measure the unpopularity of a leader is when a leader attempts to rig an election, just as Obote did in 1980. When a leader does that, it means he has not got the majority of the population behind him.

Baganda did everything to support the war against Obote for obvious reasons. For instance, some families in Luwero lost their lives at the expense of hiding Museveni and the then NRA rebels. Obote was hated among various groups of people. The Banyarwanda hated him because of his isolationist policy against them headed by Rwakasisi. The west Nilers hated him because of the massacres committed there by UNLA soldiers in 1980s by Oyite Ojok and company.

I do not rule out the fact that some of the murders in Luwero might have been committed by NRA rebels . However, because of the nature of the war fought in Luwero, it’s fair to say that UNLA did more killing than NRA. Please click on the links below to see the names of some of the people killed in Uganda between 1981 and 1984.

http://semuwemba.files.wordpress.com/2010/03/1980-84-uganda-murders1.pdf

http://semuwemba.files.wordpress.com/2010/03/more-1980-84-uganda-murders.pdf

Obote may have done some good things for Uganda under Obote 1 but it does not make him a messiah of any sort. These 1980 murders were committed at his watch as the leader of Uganda. He rigged the 1980 elections and that was enough to get him on his bike by force. We should not cover soil with faeces just because we want to eat mushrooms.

Thank you

Abbey

According to the Moshi conference delegates’ list, Comrade Olara Otunu was actually in UFM just as recently as March 1979

Submitted by: Lance Corporal (Rtd) Patrick Otto

Mao & and His Group Are as Fake as the Regime they claim to oppose

Dear friends,

How does DP expect to decampaign IPC but at the same time expect them to cooperate with DP at parliamentary level during the 2011 election? I listened to Mr. Mathias Nsubuga who is the DP’s Secretary General, today on London based Ngoma radio, and he quoted a lot of history, how alliances have historically weakened DP due to loss of members,blah blah. But he clearly missed the gist of the point why opposition parties in developing nations form coalitions: the incumbent always uses the state apparatus to frustrate the opponents and therefore it becomes difficult for an opposition party to win an election on their own.

Mathias Nsubuga rightly quoted the alliance made in 1961 between KY and UPC and what later happened afterwards in 1966, but he forgot to tell people that the alliance had received its initial objective which was to stop Ben Kiwanuka from becoming the Prime minister. Whatever happened afterwards can be attributed to other factors but not the alliance itself. It should also be noted that between 1961 and 1971,DP lost members to UPC despite the fact that they were not part of any alliance at that time. For instance, UPC catched a big fish in 1964 when the then DP Secretary General, who was also the leader of the opposition, Mr. Basil Bataringaya, crossed to UPC.

The alliance made at Moshi in 1979 also achieved its initial objective of removing Iddil Amin Dada from power. The different groups that were fighting Amin on their own could not have achieved this objective. On the military front, FRONASA, Kikosi Malumu and others had to combine efforts to fight dictator Amin. Whatever happened afterwards, like the forced resignation of Professor Yusuf Lule, cannot be attributed to the disadvantages of an alliance. But if we had people that reason like DP-Mao at the time, probably Iddil Amin would have remained a president of Uganda for longer.

After the 1980 elections where UPC openly rigged and denied DP a chance to take over power for the first time since independence, again a mother of all alliances had to be formed to kick out dictator Milton Obote . Before the alliance was formed, DP again lost its members to other parties particularly the ‘third force’ which was formed by former UPC members who wanted to fight Obote but did not want to join DP. For instance, the ‘third force’ recruited DP members such as:Matia Kasajja of Hoima, Bernard Buzaabo, Dr. Bwambale and several others. So the argument that DP only loses members after alliances had been formed does not hold water at all. Secondly, if different parties had not worked together, probably Late Obote Militon woul have died the president of Uganda since he had the support of Julius Nyerere who was controlling Uganda through a remote control from Tanzania.

DP claims that they lost a lot of members after 1986 through an alliance formed with Museveni at the time to form a broad based government but I think this is a fallacy meant to hide the internal weaknesses of the party. Those DP members who decided to remain in NRM other than returning to DP would have done the same if those very privileges they enjoyed while in NRM had been offered to them outside this alliance. For instance, president Museveni has managed to get on board UPC guys like Agrey Awori, without necessarily forming an alliance with UPC itself. He also unsuccessfully tried to recruit UPC’s giant lady, Cecilia Ogwal, during the CA elections when the issues of federo had caught fire in parliament, and he therefore needed UPC to be on his side to block Buganda from getting federo.

Let’s assume that we take DP’s reason to lose their members to other parties because of alliances as a bit weighing, but how does DP explain their hypocritical claims that they would be ready to form an alliance with the IPC if president Museveni does not get the 51% required for some to win all election. Will this not make them lose their members to other parties OR the party will be strong then after just a period of 7 months to the elections?

Finally, I’m still so skeptical about Mr.Mao’s presidential candidature and intentions because this is not the first time he is talking about a Nile Republic. He at one time wanted the north to secede from the south. He is a secessionist like JEEMA’s Hussein Kaynjo and this is not material for a Uganda president. He does not really believe in One Uganda, One people project. Secondly, because Mao has been elected DP president by one faction of DP, he is gonna affect the fortunes of the IPC candidate in the north since some people in the north believe in him. With this, president Museveni does not need to win the north to remain the president of Uganda come 2011 since Mao would do the job for him. If DP-Mao also fields candidates in Buganda in 2011, then the Buganda opposition vote will be divided between the IPC and DP-Mao candidates .It will actually be the same everywhere if Mao goes ahead to think in terms of ‘ONLY DP’ and ‘ONLY MAO’.

With that I can only conclude that by DP-Mao staying away from IPC, they are looking at themselves as bigger than anybody else and I find this arrogant and sickly. The reasons they give for not joining the IPC are as fake as the current regime in power.  Therefore, any sane Ugandan who is tired of the Museveni regime should shan them completely. Only IPC candidates should be supported in the 2011 elections by opposition supporters. I hope the donors do the same thing.

Abbey Kibirige Semuwemba
United Kingdom

EC Chairman 1980, MSM Kikira Was UPC, as Badru Kiggundu(2002-2010) is NRM

Mr Kikira, the Chairman of the EC of the 1980s was a card-bearing member of the UPC.  He had nothing to do with UPM.  It was not accidental that the UPC-dominated Military Commission chose him to hold that post.  He was a known veteran gerrymanderer and rigger, having aided the UPC in the 1963 Ankole District Coouncil election.
Recall that on 12th August 1980 AM Obote made some proposals on how to rig the elections and he specifically recommended that the EC should be chaired by a UPC sympathiser, “our old friend Kikira”.
See for yourself AM Obote’s letter.  Look at Proposal one, (c) where Kikira is mentioned.

Documents Submitted by Lance Corporal (Rtd) Patrick Otto(UAH forumist)

The Current chairman of Uganda’s Electoral Commission,Dr.Badru Kiggundu is also a NRM card holder as reported by the Independent newspaper.He has been the Chairman of the Electoral Commission since November 18, 2002. He is in charge of the Northern Region districts. According to Conservative Party (CP) leader and former Rubaga South MP John Ken Lukyamuzi, Kiggundu contested for Member of Parliament for Rubaga South in 1996 on an NRM ticket and lost. According to other reports, Kiggundu was also an LC official while he was Dean Faculty of Technology at Makerere University.

http://www.independent.co.ug/index.php/cover-story/cover-story/82-cover-story/2579-are-electoral-commissioners-cadres-of-the-nrm-party

So where does that leave the 2011 elections under the current Electoral Commission? Do we ever learn from history?

Abbey.K.S

Correcting some of the UPC lies on elections and 1980 murders

Dear readers,

I would wish to push forward the spirit of reconciliation with the past and I guess I have already told Ugandans this at some point. My problem is when some UPC supporters come in a public forum and start calling Obote and UPC ‘Jesus’ when we all know what happened in the past.

1. Yes, it is true that UPC and NRM came to power differently but they have now got a lot in common. When one analyses Museveni’s 3rd term (6th term), it is operating on the same UPC principles of isolating enemies, weakening the baganda and Buganda kingdom, building an ethnic based army and call it a ‘national army’, e.t.c. UPC came into existence a result of Obote divorcing Iganatius Musazi’s UNC over the composition of leadership which was full of baganda. Obote then united with UPU which was also anti-baganda to form what is called UPC. So, as far as I know there was no vote in the formation of UPC apart from the usual ‘wakayima tondeka nyuma’ skills by Obote. UPC has never got the people’s mandate to govern Uganda because their leader has always been afraid of elections. When did Ugandans ever elect Obote to be their president?

2. The internal problems UNLF got were all pre-planned by the elements within UPC who were both members of the UNLF and the military commission. These people were all there to drive UPC interests and not a united government interests. They got rid of yusuf Lule and later on also got rid of Binayisa after realising that he was not gonna push UPC interests despite him being a member of UPC or oboteist earlier on. Obote himself acknowledged in the letter he wrote to Paulo muwanga on 6th January 1980 that: ‘……..the UNLF was founded as an anti-upc organisation……as my friends have told me, Lukongwa is most likely to go. Iam sure apart from our members, the rest of the members of the NCC would not want to consider the candidature of a leading UPC member such as yourself.’

3. Museveni’s FRONASA were by then part of the UNLA with their leader deputising Paul Muwanga in the military commission. Most of the murders that took place in Kampala happened after the rigging of the 1980 elections. Oh my God, so many people were killed like jiggers by none other than Obote’s UNLA since the Musevenis had gone to the bush after the rigged elections. There are specific well documented incidents that incriminate Obote’s forces in the crimes committed against Ugandans after imposing himself on them in the 1980s.

4. Ugandans did not ask Obote to come from Tanzania to come and lead them. UPC comrades did and he was expecting it because he had set the ground for it. Dr. Obote never wanted the 1980 elections to take place because he knew his party were gonna lose badly and this is evidenced in the secret document he wrote on 12/08/1980: ‘ our party is opposed to elections and will only accept the prospect of holding elections at the greatest of pains. I don’t need to remind you how much the Baganda hate me personally. Nor do you need to be reminded the demonstrations that followed Lule’s fall…….we must do everything possible to see that elections are not held on the 30th of September as proposed’. He also said in the same document that: ‘if it appears just before, during or immediately after the elections that things are not working out as expected there should immediately be a mutiny by the Army. For this purpose the chief of staff has already ensured that all commanders of the Brigades are loyal to us.’ Obote has never wanted to be an ordinary Uganda just like president Museveni as never wanted to be an ordinary Uganda. Both these guys are so superficial in their characters.

I’m not going to talk about the killing spree by the movement ,as some UPC members call it, before they came to power. In any case, they aren’t different from UPC now. I will leave that to NRM Supporters to serve you the ‘usual’ on their menus. All I know is that the situation in Uganda
deteriorated so much in the 1980s to the extent that there was no any other way of kicking out UPC dictatorship other than fighting it militarily. So I still maintain that the war in the Luwero triangle was justified. What has happened after this war makes you think twice about wars but what can we do with these men who don’t wanna listen. You tell me.

Abbey

GOD BLESS

Lule’s Professorship,Mutesa’s body& Obote’s Doctorate

Dear Ugandans

I would like to take this opportunity to send my condolences to the family of late Yusuf Lule who recently lost  a strong lady in Hannah Lule( Lule’s wife). May the good Lord keep you all strong and help you to get through this difficult time.

I would also like to use this opportunity to tell those Ugandans who are still in doubt whether Yusuf Lule was a real professor or not-that he was a professor as in like deservedly being called a professor. He had his own faults (for example, changing his religion) but he was admirably an intelligent man. I don’t know if any of his sons took after him because I don’t know them very well. However, I have got a little brother who exactly looks like Lule and I sometimes wonder whether he will also end up like him in future.

Anyway, according to Professor Ali Mazrui, Y.K. Lule acquired the title of “Professor” when he was elected to head the Association of African Universities with its headquarters in Accra, Ghana, after his Makerere years. Let us also remember that Late Lule already had 2 degrees in something I have forgotten. He did his masters degree from the University of Edinburgh (Scotland).

Lule would have made Ugandans very proud as the president of Uganda if UNLF, the Musevenis and Nyerere Julius had given him a chance. The world never gave him a chance. It was also unfortunate that he died before NRM had taken over power because he would have played a role in the Museveni government. He was the first chairman of NRM and he had very good ideas. He was the one that partly influenced people like late Dr.Sulaiman Kiggundu into the NRM. A lot of Baganda respected him.

I can only say that Lule was a victim of ‘snakes’, ‘chameleons’ and hypocrites in the UNLF government. Museveni himself never wanted Lule to become the president of Uganda at the time when one tries to analyse some of the sentiments he pours in his book sowing the Mustard Seed. Museveni believed that the FRONASA group should have had an upper hand in the post Amin era and I believe he wanted himself to be the president. That’s why he steeped on a lot of people’s toes while in the Moshi Conference (March 1979). Lule kept himself the Defence minister for a while with Museveni as his deputy (state minister of defence) because he knew how powerful the minister of defence can do to a regime that was as unstable as his. He should never have trusted Museveni at all because Museveni himself had shown signs of fighting for the presidency whatever it takes.

Lule at the same time did not trust Paulo Muwanga because he knew that this was Obote’s snake in the UNLF government and that’s why he removed him from the important ministry of internal affairs and replaced him with a man he could trust, Dr.Andrew Kayiira.

The Obote Group, on the other hand, did not trust Museveni because they knew what he was after. They recruited a few FRONASA into the UNLA and Museveni did not like this as he says in his book. But this was what anybody who wanted to consolidate his power base should have done. The UPC people wanted to keep the northerners as the majority in the army because they knew that power lies in the army in African politics and also wished to keep their strength in the north going. The UPC guys did not even like Museveni being the Vice chairman of the Military commission but Nyerere intervened in Moshi and there he was.

Museveni in return did not like them at all but kept them within his distance and that is why he tactically accepted to serve in the UNLF government. Museveni was not worried about Prof Lule’s presidency that much because he knew he was gonna fail. If Lule had come into presidency with an army of his own, he probably would have survived the ‘snakes’ and ‘chameleons’ in the UNLF government. When Lule realised that he was surrounded with snakes that were gonna bite him any time, he started seeking the shoulders of the Mengo clique to cry on and that’s when these snakes made a move. He never moved out of  the central region in the 68 days he was president because he knew that there were more snakes waiting for him outside the central region and he was scared to death.

Lule wanted to create a balance in the army (UNLA) and that is why he introduced the quotoa system for recruitment, which would have been based on the population of each of the country’s ethinic groups. The UPC group did not like this as this would have meant more Baganda and other western tribes dominating the army. I think Museveni supported him on this issue because he was watching the UPC Group very closely.

The truth therefore is that Lule did try to take some steps within the 68 days he was in power to consolidate his presidency but he would never have made it without an army of his own. His insistence of going by the 1967 constitution can also be seen as a president who wanted to give himself more executive powers. Who would not want this if you wanted to consolidate your power? The UPC people moved very fast and got rid of him. They tactically replaced him with the 1960s former Obote’s right hand man, Binaisa, who was the architect of the 1967 constitution. This Binaisa knew that he was just being used and that’s why he resorted to turning state house in a business entity to make himself a few dosh here and there.

kironde Lule

Mazrui also explains why Obote was afraid of the return of Mutesa’s 1’s body by saying that he(Obote) was afraid that the return of Mutesa’s body to Uganda would provoke another Baganda intifadah like that of 1966.

I would also like to respond to the UPC supporters who are obcessed with calling late Obote a ”Dr”. What was Obote studying in Ethiopia to be called a DR? Obote was expelled from Makerere University for organizing a food riot, and there are no records anywhere to indicate that he ever studied for a medical degree, or a PhD in any field. So what is with this fixation of calling the man Dr.?

Obote was a ”Dr” without any degree or any piece of research or anything like that. By the way, even the Liverpool FC captain is supposed to be called Dr. Stephen Gerald after getting one of those like Obote, but he never uses it. Oh, even president Museveni is now called Dr. Museveni after getting ‘OBOTE’ honours recently from the Law Development Centre.

I think I agree with Mr.Shyaka Kanuma , UNHCR (Rwanda) Media and Information Consultant ,who said in 2005 that people who praise Obote all the time can be assumed to reflect some pathological inability not to tell the whole truth.

Obote_Mutesa-side-by-side

Have we ever heard of any UPC supporters or sympathisers coming up to say that Obote did A,B,C and D and therefore let us move on. It was only Omugeye Miria Kalule Obote who apologised in 2006 elections on behalf of UPC but she never told us what she was actually apologising for.  When i later challenged UPC special  representative in the UK,Mr. Joseph Ochieno, to give us a list of the things UPC was apologising for, he  pretended like he did not know what i was talking about.

Abbey.K.Semuwemba


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Uganda at heart

Semuwemba is a Ugandan residing in the UK

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"The ultimate measure of a man is not where he stands in moments of comfort and convenience, but where he stands at times of challenge and controversy. "~ Martin Luther King Jr. ~

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